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Old 10-03-2007, 03:00 PM   #1
julierene
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Question Months Time to Progression

Study Results
Women taking lapatinib plus chemotherapy benefited more overall than women taking a placebo plus chemotherapy. Median progression-free survival, or the time women went without their cancer growing, was 7.9 months for the combination group, compared to 5.2 months for the group that took chemotherapy alone.
Women in the combination group responded to treatment for a median of 7.4 months, compared to 5.5 months for the placebo group. In the combination group, treatment lessened the presence of disease in 60 percent of women, compared to 36 percent in the placebo group.

http://www.lbbc.org/content/news/com...y&auid=3059530

Does this trouble anyone else? I am on this treatment for 2 months extra? It seems almost worthless in how it is presented - to even be on this treatment. Ugh! I'm taking Tykerb and Xeloda, but shesh.... Is this what I have to look forward to? 2 more extra months?

Then you see this:

In a study of 321 women, all with advanced breast cancer who tested positive for HER2, 160 who received Tykerb with Xeloda had no cancer growth for 36.9 weeks. The other 161 women who were on Xeloda alone experienced no cancer growth for just 19.7 weeks. The trial was stopped so that the women who were not taking Tykerb could do so if they wished.

http://www.medicalnewstoday.com/articles/44505.php

Which way is it?
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Jan04: Bilateral Mastectomy at age 28
Initial DX: Left Breast: IDC 2cm, Grade 3, HER2+3, 0 Nodes +, ER/PR-. Right Breast: Extensive DCIS ER-/PR+; Stage 1-2a
Feb04-Apr04: 4 AC, dose dense
Aug 04: 4 Taxotere
Dec 05: Bone and Liver METS; Stage 4. Carboplatin/Taxol/Herceptin. DX with Li-Fraumeni Syndrome
Apr 06: NED, maintenance Herceptin
Apr 07: CA1503=14; masses in liver; Xeloda/Tykerb
Nov 07: NED, Tykerb maintenance
Sept 08: Liver mets again, on Tykerb/Xeloda again, CA=19 and 27
Nov 08: Progression, Tykerb/Gemzar, CA=25
Dec 08: Progression, Herceptin/Navelbine, CA=40, 57, and 130
Jan 09: Progression in bone, recession in liver, Herceptin/Carbo/Abraxane CA=135
June 09: CA27/29=24, chemo break
Sept 09: Progression, CA=24, waiting on clinical trial (4 weeks no treatment)
Nov 09: now have brain mets, trial "on hold", getting 14 WBR treatments starting 11/2/09
Dec 09: possible start on p53 trial
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Old 10-03-2007, 03:29 PM   #2
Sandy in Silicon Valley
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Cool Adding Tykerb DOUBLED time-to-progression rates

Hi, Julierene,

Here's another reference I found, from last year. Each research design is going to invariably come up with different stats - depending on the subjects selected (the study I'm referencing used patients who'd been heavily treated for bcmets prior to going on the Tykerb + Xeloda, or Xeloda alone, arms of the study.

http://findarticles.com/p/articles/m...1/ai_n16621413

The other thing to keep in mind is that the time-to-progression (or recurrence interval) ISN"T about survival rates (like staying alive an extra 2 months, or double the amount of time) - it's about the time before the bcmets were detected to be multiplying, or moving to another organ. That doesn't necessarily affect survival rate - each progression can then get treatment - usually chemo and/or radiation and/or surgery, and sometimes, the "right"/ most effective treatment is found (usually by trial and error, unfortunately - we have few means to detect which chemo will work for whom).

Does DOUBLE the time-to-recurrence rate sound better to you? "Dr. Charles E. Geyer Jr. reported the median time to progression was 37 weeks for 160 women treated with the two-drug combination, but only 20 weeks for 161 women given capecitabine alone." That's still only a 4 month statistical average of difference in time to progression for those on the Tykerb along with Xeloda. Still, the fewer treatments we "use up" in the course of advanced bc, the more chance we have of still having an array to try, and thus still finding one that works really effectively. To me, it sounds like a worthwhile trade-off - especially since the Tykerb seems to curb brain mets, which few-if-any of the other treatments do!

(((hugs)))
Sandy in Silicon Valley
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1992 - age 44/ ER-/PR+ Stage II dx - mastectomy, CAF x 6 cycles; Tamoxifen
1997 - BRCA1 mutation dx'd
1998 - ovaries removed
1999 - off Tamoxifen, on Arimidex
2003 - dx'd Stage IV - lymph nodes & lungs. ER-/PR-/HER2neu+++.
Tx: Herceptin & Taxotere (6 cycles).
2005 - 2.9cm x 3.6cm brain tumor. Craniotomy, CyberKnife. 9 mo. staph aureus infection at incision site - 2nd craniotomy. Two small brain mets CyberKnife'd.
2006 - revisit Xeloda - dosage lowered to 2500mg/day, 5 cycles.
2007 - "spot" dx'd on qtrly brain MRI - same location as CyberKnife 7/05. > by 2-4mm per quarter - - radiation injury or re-growing cancer? Tykerb added to Herceptin - July, still "watching & waiting". Otherwise, fully functional...


"The majority of people are not only afraid of holding a wrong opinion, they are afraid of holding an opinion alone." Kierkegaard
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Old 10-03-2007, 06:15 PM   #3
tousled1
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Julierene,

Please don't let the statistics upset you. You must keep in mind that Tykerb is a new drug therapy and is still in clinicial trials. I don't think anyone can at this point in time give an accurate prediction of how long to progression any chemo drug will give. Each and every one of us reacts differently to each drug. We women - Tykerb and Herceptin - are writing history. Don't get discouraged. You may be one of the women who has a complete remission to the combo. Hang in there.
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Stage IIIC Diagnosed Oct 25, 2005 (age 58)
ER/PR-, HER2+++, grade 3, Ploidy/DNA index: Aneuploid/1.61, S-phase: 24.2%
Neoadjunct chemo: 4 A/C; 4 Taxatore
Bilateral mastectomy June 8, 2006
14 of 26 nodes positive
Herceptin June 22, 2006 - April 20, 2007
Radiation (X35) July 24-September 11, 2006
BRCA1/BRCA2 negative
Stage IV lung mets July 13, 2007 - TCH
Single brain met - August 6, 2007 -CyberKnife
Oct 2007 - clear brain MRI and lung mets shrinking.
March 2008 lung met progression, brain still clear - begin Tykerb/Xeloda/Ixempra
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Old 10-03-2007, 07:00 PM   #4
hutchibk
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I have very purposefully shunned anything that looks like a statistic every since this journey began... stats like that don't apply to the real person in treatment. If stats like that were gospel, then we wouldn't have any of the truly inspirational women on this site who are many years beyond what the stats seem to say.
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Brenda

NOV 2012 - 9 yr anniversary
JULY 2012 - 7 yr anniversary stage IV (of 50...)

Nov'03~ dX stage 2B
Dec'03~
Rt side mastectomy, Her2+, ER/PR+, 10 nodes out, one node positive
Jan'04~
Taxotere/Adria/Cytoxan x 6, NED, no Rads, Tamox. 1 year, Arimadex 3 mo., NED 14 mo.
Sept'05~
micro mets lungs/chest nodes/underarm node, Switched to Aromasin, T/C/H x 7, NED 6 months - Herceptin only
Aug'06~
micro mets chest nodes, & bone spot @ C3 neck, Added Taxol to Herceptin
Feb'07~ Genetic testing, BRCA 1&2 neg

Apr'07~
MRI - two 9mm brain mets & 5 punctates, new left chest met, & small increase of bone spot C3 neck, Stopped Aromasin
May'07~
Started Tykerb/Xeloda, no WBR for now
June'07~
MRI - stable brain mets, no new mets, 9mm spots less enhanced, CA15.3 down 45.5 to 9.3 in 10 wks, Ty/Xel working magic!
Aug'07~
MRI - brain mets shrunk half, NO NEW BRAIN METS!!, TMs stable @ 9.2
Oct'07~
PET/CT & MRI show NED
Apr'08~
scans still show NED in the head, small bone spot on right iliac crest (rear pelvic bone)
Sept'08~
MRI shows activity in brain mets, completed 5 fractions/5 consecutive days of IMRT to zap the pesky buggers
Oct'08~
dropped Xeloda, switched to tri-weekly Herceptin in combo with Tykerb, extend to tri-monthly Zometa infusion
Dec'08~
Brain MRI- 4 spots reduced to punctate size, large spot shrunk by 3mm, CT of torso clear/pelvis spot stable
June'09~
new 3-4mm left cerrebellar spot zapped with IMRT targeted rads
Sept'09~
new 6mm & 1 cm spots in pituitary/optic chiasm area. Rx= 25 days of 3D conformal fractionated targeted IMRT to the tumors.
Oct'09~
25 days of low dose 3D conformal fractionated targeted IMRT to the bone mets spot on rt. iliac crest that have been watching for 2 years. Added daily Aromasin back into treatment regimen.
Apr'10~ Brain MRI clear! But, see new small spot on adrenal gland. Change from Aromasin back to Tamoxifen.
June'10~ Tumor markers (CA15.3) dropped from 37 to 23 after one month on Tamoxifen. Continue to monitor adrenal gland spot. Remain on Tykerb/Herceptin/Tamoxifen.
Nov'10~ Radiate positive mediastinal node that was pressing on recurrent laryngeal nerve, causing paralyzed larynx and a funny voice.
Jan'11~ MRI shows possible activity or perhaps just scar tissue/necrotic increase on 3 previously treated brain spots and a pituitary spot. 5 days of IMRT on 4 spots.
Feb'11~ Enrolled in T-DM1 EAP in Denver, first treatment March 25, 2011.
Mar'11~ Finally started T-DM1 EAP in Denver at Rocky Mountain Cancer Center/Rose on Mar. 25... hallelujah.

"I would rather be anecdotally alive than statistically dead."
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Old 10-10-2007, 06:36 AM   #5
Lala
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There are no crystal balls that can accurately predict the future. So why bother reading statistics I say. The bottom line is we are all very different and Tykerb is still breaking ground in combination with other drugs. Hang in there.
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DX Fall05 Stage 4 er+ pr+ her2+ liver and bone mets
DX Fall06 Brain mets, Brain mets gone Spring 2007
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