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Old 01-08-2008, 12:14 AM   #4
Lani
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2006
Posts: 4,778
Jean , I recently posted her2+ bc brain met stats in which I think

10-15% was listed as risk of brain mets as site of first recurrence(if I recall right, and I may not at the moment!) As more her2+ patients are treated with herceptin the incidence of brain mets as site of first recurrence is increasing!

When ALL breast cancer is lumped together (my pet peave) the following results were posted by me in May of 2006:

ABSTRACT: Identifying breast cancer patients at risk for Central Nervous System (CNS) metastases in trials of the International Breast Cancer Study Group (IBCSG) [Annals of Oncology; Subscribe; Sample]
Background: We sought to determine whether a high-risk group could be defined among patients with operable breast cancer in whom a search of occult central nervous system (CNS) metastases was justified.

Patients and methods: We evaluated data from 9524 women with early breast cancer (42% node-negative) who were randomized in International Breast Cancer Study Group clinical trials between 1978 and 1999, and treated without anthracyclines, taxanes, or trastuzumab. We identified patients whose site of first event was CNS and those who had a CNS event at any time.

Results: Median follow-up was 13 years. The 10-year incidence (10-yr) of CNS relapse was 5.2% (1.3% as first recurrence). Factors predictive of CNS as first recurrence included: node-positive disease (10-yr = 2.2% for > 3 N+), estrogen receptor-negative (2.3%), tumor size > 2 cm (1.7%), tumor grade 3 (2.0%), < 35 years old (2.2%), HER2-positive (2.7%), and estrogen receptor-negative and node-positive (2.6%). The risk of subsequent CNS recurrence was elevated in patients experiencing lung metastases (10-yr = 16.4%).

Conclusion: Based on this large cohort we were able to define risk factors for CNS metastases, but could not define a group at sufficient risk to justify routine screening for occult CNS metastases.


I have posted at least 3 other studies over the years with stats on this.

Sorry I don't have the time at the moment to search them out. Try to remind me later!
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